Also of note today - finally, the 2021 census figures which massively over-estimated the number of trans people has been downgraded.
Census figures claiming that there are 262,000 transgender people in England and Wales have been formally downgraded, after fears the question may have been misunderstood.
On Thursday, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) requested a reclassification of its 2021 gender identity estimates from “official statistics” to “official statistics in development”.
It admitted there was the “potential for bias” in answers to the question: “Is the gender you identify with the same as your sex registered at birth?” In the 2021 census, people whose first language was not English were four times more likely to say they were transgender than those with English as their main language.
The ONS acknowledged potential bias in how the question had been answered by those “who responded that they did not speak English well”. Dr Michael Biggs, an Oxford professor who first raised concerns about the question, said the ONS had made a “long-overdue admission” that the question was “fundamentally flawed”.
He said yesterday: “It’s disgraceful that the Office for National Statistics took 18 months to admit this. Of the total of over 100 questions in the 2011 and 2021 censuses, this is the first to have been downgraded by the ONS.”...
Biggs said he believed that ONS’s close relationship with LGBT lobby group Stonewall contributed to this question being developed without proper scrutiny and said it was “essential” that other public bodies were stopped from using it.
Here's the abstract from the April 2023 paper from Michael Biggs:
The 2021 Census of England and Wales was the first in the world to elicit information on gender identity from an entire population. This paper argues that its results are implausible on the dimensions of geography, education, ethnicity, and religion. The results contradict external sources of data such as referrals to gender clinics and signatures on a pro-transgender petition. The results are also internally inconsistent when the various categories of gender identity are correlated across geography,and when compared to the results for sexual orientation.The spurious results were produced by a badly flawed question on gender identity, which was originally formulated by a transgender campaigning organization. The question evidently confused a substantial number of respondents who erroneously declared their gender identity to differ from their natal sex. Confusion is manifested by the overrepresentation of people lacking English proficiency or educational qualifications in the most suspect gender categories. These findings demonstrate how a faulty survey question can systematically distort our apprehension of the social world.
In particular the London boroughs of Newham and Brent, which have a significant percentage of residents who speak English as a second language, recorded the highest proportion of transgender people in the UK. Which should perhaps have caused alarm bells to ring.
The Deputy Director at the ONS is transwoman Alison Pritchard, as it happens.
Postscript:
Worth also noting that there are hundreds of academics working in UK institutions who would have had Michael Biggs' research suppressed if they could, and tried their hardest to disparage his character and discredit his work. https://t.co/S4NFkBpBkk
— Kathleen Stock (@Docstockk) September 13, 2024