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May 30, 2020


John B

‘ Science is about prediction or it is nothing. ’

Science is not about prediction! But this belief is endemic throughout the political class and media. Science is about discovery, trying to find a way through uncertainty and making that uncertainty clear.

Insofar as prediction plays a part in the scientific process, any prediction based on hypothesis has to be tested by observation from experiment or experience. Until and unless it is confirmed by observation, it has no validity and certainly forms no basis for action.

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